OUR BLOG

My account might be in trouble: What now? (PART 2)
The next day...
So here we have crude oil, massively
dropping which renders our back up plan sort of useless. This can seem
frustrating for the novice trader, though it is a manageable situation which
can be turned into an advantage. The only drawback is the holding period, since
we have a BUY now at 63.495 which is in loss. Could or will crude oil fly past
the $65 mark sometime in the future? It is pretty much a guarantee since any
uncertainty in the markets or another threat of war is almost a certainty at
some point. Do not forget, fear and greed drives the market and crude oil makes
major movements due to its dependence on fear.
Now what is the next step? Simple,
we have a tight ‘lock’ at the top with 1 BUY and 1 SELL. Note I have deleted
the SELL LIMIT trade at the very top. The rest below are active SELL trades.
Our next step is to wait it out for the price to drop below $56 per barrel and
then we have the option to remove 2 SELL trades at the bottom. Assuming this
happens, this leaves us with the ‘locked position’ on top with the 1 BUY and 1
SELL. Now we have limited our risk to just less than $15.
However, keep in mind time has
passed by (assuming Crude drops to where we want it to) and we want to continue
making money here. Obviously I expect a ‘pullback’ by Crude after the big drop,
thus am look into buying again. Where would you assume the drop to end? Our
first reference is the major support points, where we have one at $50. That
could be a decent buy point. Another one we have would be around $45.8.
You might now question, what if
crude drops to below $30? Maybe even $20? Well, no guarantees from me that it
wouldn’t! Our trust in price range comes back to fundamentals though, as crude
oil will never go to $0 unless we have a major global apocalypse, for the same
reasons why Gold and Silver would never go to $0. Oil is not used for just
fuel, it is used to fuel mankind through various petrochemical products,
energy, beauty products, and cooking! Crude oil will always have value, and the
Russian, Chinese and North American governments are not fools to stockpile millions
of barrels in their backyard for use on a ‘rainy day’.